Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001864 0.001950 0.002039 0.002139 0.002250 0.002368 0.002504
2025-05-25 0.001708 0.001826 0.001955 0.002107 0.002283 0.002483 0.002730
2025-06-01 0.001591 0.001728 0.001882 0.002070 0.002298 0.002570 0.002926
2025-06-08 0.001537 0.001693 0.001874 0.002102 0.002389 0.002749 0.003254
2025-06-15 0.001487 0.001656 0.001857 0.002117 0.002458 0.002904 0.003568
2025-06-22 0.001427 0.001603 0.001814 0.002095 0.002472 0.002985 0.003788
2025-06-29 0.001371 0.001549 0.001768 0.002063 0.002468 0.003036 0.003968
2025-07-06 0.001328 0.001511 0.001737 0.002047 0.002483 0.003115 0.004203
2025-07-13 0.001264 0.001442 0.001664 0.001970 0.002406 0.003047 0.004176
2025-07-20 0.001234 0.001415 0.001642 0.001962 0.002425 0.003126 0.004421
2025-07-27 0.001215 0.001401 0.001638 0.001976 0.002478 0.003262 0.004797
2025-08-03 0.001187 0.001374 0.001614 0.001961 0.002484 0.003321 0.005036
2025-08-10 0.001172 0.001365 0.001615 0.001982 0.002549 0.003492 0.005565
2025-08-17 0.001148 0.001342 0.001596 0.001973 0.002567 0.003585 0.005952
2025-08-24 0.001120 0.001313 0.001567 0.001949 0.002558 0.003625 0.006225
2025-08-31 0.001112 0.001310 0.001575 0.001980 0.002642 0.003852 0.007091
2025-09-07 0.001099 0.001301 0.001574 0.001995 0.002700 0.004039 0.007954
2025-09-14 0.001076 0.001278 0.001550 0.001976 0.002696 0.004096 0.008430
2025-09-21 0.001052 0.001251 0.001522 0.001947 0.002673 0.004110 0.008762
2025-09-28 0.001034 0.001232 0.001504 0.001933 0.002677 0.004181 0.009373
2025-10-05 0.001000 0.001191 0.001452 0.001864 0.002576 0.004007 0.008862
2025-10-12 0.000985 0.001176 0.001439 0.001857 0.002587 0.004091 0.009553
2025-10-19 0.000977 0.001171 0.001439 0.001870 0.002636 0.004272 0.010879